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UEFA Champions League

Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Gornik Zabrze Gornik ZabrzevsFenerbahce Fenerbahce
Our predictionFenerbahce to win
Model score: High · 81/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Fenerbahce at 62%. The model leans toward Fenerbahce. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Gornik ZabrzeDraw2 · Fenerbahce
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.88+7.3%
1X2Fenerbahce1.53+0.8%
1X2Gornik Zabrze5.89+0.2%
1X2Draw4.13-1.0%
BTTSYes1.82-7.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Gornik Zabrze
36
Fenerbahce
71

Recent form

Gornik ZabrzeLWLWD
FenerbahceWLWDL

Most likely scorelines

0-114.2%
0-212.8%
1-110.5%
1-29.5%
0-07.9%
0-37.7%

Expected goals

0.74Gornik Zabrze
xG
1.80Fenerbahce
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score44%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Gornik Zabrze Fenerbahce

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Fenerbahce win1.53Fair (+0.8%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
081413831
1610963
22432
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 16%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Fenerbahce at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Fenerbahce. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 5.89. The draw is priced at 4.13. Fenerbahce is priced at 1.533.

Gornik Zabrze have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Gornik Zabrze have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Fenerbahce have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Gornik Zabrze or Fenerbahce?

Our model rates Fenerbahce as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 Gornik Zabrze wins, 0 draws, 0 Fenerbahce wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.