Benjamin Aceval vs Guairena: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Benjamin Acevalvs
GuairenaThe model puts Benjamin Aceval at 52%. The model leans toward Benjamin Aceval. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Benjamin Aceval.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Benjamin Aceval have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guairena have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Benjamin Aceval is priced at 1.82.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Benjamin Aceval at 52%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Guairena at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Benjamin Aceval. Benjamin Aceval is priced at 1.82. The draw is priced at 3.32. Guairena is priced at 3.98.
Guairena have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Benjamin Aceval have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Guairena have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Benjamin Aceval or Guairena?
Our model rates Benjamin Aceval as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Benjamin Aceval vs Guairena?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Benjamin Aceval wins, 0 draws, 1 Guairena wins.
League table
Paraguay. Division Intermedia| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  12 De Junio Villa Hayes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 22:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Benjamin Aceval | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:13 | 31 |
| 3 |  General Caballero JLM | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32:22 | 30 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Santaní | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 5 |  Sol de America | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 6 |  Atletico Tembetary | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 22 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Capiatá | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 8 | Guairena | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 |  Independiente FBC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23:22 | 20 |
| 10 |  Club Fernando de la Mora | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:24 | 19 |
| 11 |  Sportivo Carapegua | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19:29 | 19 |
| 12 |  Resistencia SC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Tacuary | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 14 |  Paraguari Atletico | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 15:22 | 13 |
| 15 |  Encarnacion | 16 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 15:23 | 12 |
| 16 |  3 de Noviembre | 15 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 13:26 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.