Midtjylland vs Horsens: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Midtjyllandvs
HorsensThe model puts Midtjylland at 71%. The model leans toward Midtjylland. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Midtjylland (4-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Midtjylland have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Horsens have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Midtjylland have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Midtjylland is priced at 1.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Midtjylland at 71%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Horsens at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Midtjylland. Midtjylland is priced at 1.34. The draw is priced at 5.15. Horsens is priced at 7.85.
Midtjylland have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Midtjylland have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Horsens have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Midtjylland or Horsens?
Our model rates Midtjylland as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Midtjylland vs Horsens?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Midtjylland wins, 2 draws, 0 Horsens wins.
League table
Denmark. Superliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  AGF Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 5 |  Silkeborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 |  Brondby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Horsens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Randers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Lyngby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 11 |  SonderjyskE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 12 |  Odense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.