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Denmark. Superliga

Odense vs SonderjyskE: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Odense OdensevsSonderjyskE SonderjyskE
Our predictionOdense to win
Model score: Medium · 53/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Odense at 47%. The model leans toward Odense. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · OdenseDraw2 · SonderjyskE
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.39+10.6%
1X2Odense2.11+2.4%
1X2Draw3.55-0.6%
1X2SonderjyskE3.20-1.8%
BTTSYes1.51-10.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

OdenseWLLWW
SonderjyskELLLLL
Team strength rating
Odense
61
SonderjyskE
34

Most likely scorelines

1-011.8%
1-111.8%
2-09.6%
2-19.6%
0-07.2%
0-17.2%

Expected goals

1.63Odense
xG
1.00SonderjyskE
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Odense SonderjyskE

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Odense win2.11Fair (+2.4%)
Double chanceOdense or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07741
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Odense at 47%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts SonderjyskE at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Odense. Odense is priced at 2.11. The draw is priced at 3.55. SonderjyskE is priced at 3.2.

Odense have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. SonderjyskE have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Odense have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. SonderjyskE have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Odense or SonderjyskE?

Our model rates Odense as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Odense vs SonderjyskE?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 2 Odense wins, 1 draws, 3 SonderjyskE wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.733.302.872.442.00
Home 2.11 Draw 3.55 Away 3.20

League table

Denmark. Superliga
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Copenhagen22006:36
2Midtjylland22005:36
3Brondby21012:14
4Nordsjaelland21012:14
5Viborg21101:13
6AGF Aarhus20023:32
7Lyngby20114:51
8Silkeborg20112:31
9Randers20111:21
10Silkeborg20112:41
11SonderjyskE10102:30
12Brondby10100:10
Promotion - Superliga (Play-off) Superliga (Relegation Group)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.