Racing Club de Avellaneda vs Club Atletico Tigre: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Racing Club de Avellanedavs
Club Atletico TigreThe model puts Racing Club de Avellaneda at 48%. The model leans toward Racing Club de Avellaneda. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Racing Club de Avellaneda.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Racing Club de Avellaneda have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Tigre have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Racing Club de Avellaneda have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Racing Club de Avellaneda is priced at 2.057.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Racing Club de Avellaneda at 48%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Club Atletico Tigre at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Racing Club de Avellaneda. Racing Club de Avellaneda is priced at 2.057. The draw is priced at 3.005. Club Atletico Tigre is priced at 4.275.
Racing Club de Avellaneda have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Club Atletico Tigre have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Racing Club de Avellaneda have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Tigre have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Racing Club de Avellaneda or Club Atletico Tigre?
Our model rates Racing Club de Avellaneda as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Racing Club de Avellaneda vs Club Atletico Tigre?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Racing Club de Avellaneda wins, 0 draws, 3 Club Atletico Tigre wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Riestra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Newell's Old Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 8 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Union de Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 |  Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 12 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Boca Juniors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.