Hacken vs Kalmar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hackenvs
KalmarThe model puts Hacken at 51%. The model leans toward Hacken. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Kalmar.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hacken (4-1-1).
- −Hacken are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hacken have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kalmar have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hacken have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hacken will be without Engdahl, Lindberg, Ohman, Berisha E..
- Kalmar will be without Larsson.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hacken at 51%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Kalmar at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hacken. Hacken is priced at 1.78. The draw is priced at 3.96. Kalmar is priced at 3.955.
Hacken have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Kalmar have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hacken have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Kalmar have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hacken or Kalmar?
Our model rates Hacken as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hacken vs Kalmar?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Hacken wins, 1 draws, 1 Kalmar wins.
League table
Sweden. Allsvenskan| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 40:17 | 38 |
| 2 |  Hammarby | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 33:15 | 27 |
| 3 | Hacken | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:22 | 24 |
| 4 |  Djurgardens | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 27:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Vasteras SK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24:23 | 22 |
| 6 |  AIK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 22 |
| 7 |  Elfsborg | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 8 |  Malmo | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 9 |  GAIS | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 10 |  Mjallby | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 11 | Kalmar | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 18:20 | 17 |
| 12 |  Brommapojkarna | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 13 |  Goteborg | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17:33 | 13 |
| 14 |  Degerfors | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Orgryte | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 14:33 | 10 |
| 16 |  Halmstads | 14 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11:29 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.