Lahti vs FF Jaro: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lahtivs
FF JaroThe model puts Lahti at 57%. The model leans toward Lahti. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lahti have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- FF Jaro have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lahti have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lahti is priced at 1.65.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lahti at 57%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts FF Jaro at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Lahti. Lahti is priced at 1.65. The draw is priced at 3.95. FF Jaro is priced at 4.79.
Lahti have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. FF Jaro have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Lahti have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. FF Jaro have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lahti or FF Jaro?
Our model rates Lahti as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lahti vs FF Jaro?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Lahti wins, 3 draws, 2 FF Jaro wins.
League table
Finland. Veikkausliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kuopion Palloseura | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32:16 | 36 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 24:14 | 31 |
| 3 |  HJK | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 28:20 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:21 | 28 |
| 5 |  Vaasan Palloseura | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:16 | 27 |
| 6 |  AC Oulu | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 7 | Lahti | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 8 |  Turun Palloseura | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:20 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 29:30 | 22 |
| 10 | FF Jaro | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17:33 | 15 |
| 11 |  Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 17 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 9:36 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.