Slovan Liberec vs Teplice: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Slovan Liberecvs
TepliceThe model puts Slovan Liberec at 54%. The model leans toward Slovan Liberec. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Teplice (1-2-3).
- −Slovan Liberec are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Teplice are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Slovan Liberec have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Teplice have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slovan Liberec have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Slovan Liberec will be without Baboula, Бербич, Zyba, Gabriel Sim., Knapik.
- Teplice will be without Audinis, Beranek, Danihel, Jukl, Svatek, Vecerka, Pulkrab.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Slovan Liberec at 54%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Teplice at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Slovan Liberec. Slovan Liberec is priced at 1.68. The draw is priced at 3.78. Teplice is priced at 4.67.
Slovan Liberec have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Teplice have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Slovan Liberec have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Liberec are on 3 wins in a row. Teplice have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Teplice are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Slovan Liberec or Teplice?
Our model rates Slovan Liberec as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Slovan Liberec vs Teplice?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Slovan Liberec wins, 2 draws, 3 Teplice wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Zbrojovka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Slovan Liberec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Teplice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hradec Kralove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Jablonec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Banik Ostrava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Zlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Artis Brno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Viktoria Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  AC Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 16 |  1. Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.