Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Greenock Mortonvs
Partick ThistleThe model puts Partick Thistle at 62%. The model leans toward Partick Thistle. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Partick Thistle.
- +The head-to-head record favours Partick Thistle (0-3-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Greenock Morton have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Partick Thistle have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Partick Thistle is priced at 1.51.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Greenock Morton at 16%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Partick Thistle at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Partick Thistle. Greenock Morton is priced at 5.59. The draw is priced at 3.88. Partick Thistle is priced at 1.51.
Partick Thistle have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Greenock Morton have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Partick Thistle have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Greenock Morton or Partick Thistle?
Our model rates Partick Thistle as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Greenock Morton wins, 3 draws, 3 Partick Thistle wins.
League table
Scotland. Championship| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inverness | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greenock Morton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Queen's Park | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Raith Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Stenhousemuir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.