Gnistan vs Kuopion Palloseura: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gnistanvs
Kuopion PalloseuraThe model puts Kuopion Palloseura at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Gnistan (5-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gnistan have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kuopion Palloseura have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gnistan have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kuopion Palloseura is priced at 2.14.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gnistan at 33%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Kuopion Palloseura at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Kuopion Palloseura. Gnistan is priced at 3.055. The draw is priced at 3.66. Kuopion Palloseura is priced at 2.14.
Gnistan have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Gnistan have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kuopion Palloseura have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Kuopion Palloseura are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gnistan or Kuopion Palloseura?
Our model rates Kuopion Palloseura as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gnistan vs Kuopion Palloseura?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Gnistan wins, 1 draws, 0 Kuopion Palloseura wins.
League table
Finland. Veikkausliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuopion Palloseura | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32:16 | 36 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 24:14 | 31 |
| 3 |  HJK | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 28:20 | 28 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:21 | 28 |
| 5 |  Vaasan Palloseura | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:16 | 27 |
| 6 |  AC Oulu | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 8 |  Turun Palloseura | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:20 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 29:30 | 22 |
| 10 |  FF Jaro | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17:33 | 15 |
| 11 |  Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 17 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 9:36 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.