Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Inter Miamivs
Columbus CrewThe model puts Inter Miami at 58%. The model leans toward Inter Miami. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Inter Miami score more per game (3.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
- +Recent form favours Inter Miami.
- +The head-to-head record favours Inter Miami (4-1-1).
- +Inter Miami creates more chances (21 vs 11 shots per game).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Inter Miami have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Columbus Crew have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inter Miami have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Inter Miami is priced at 1.83.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Inter Miami at 58%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Columbus Crew at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-1.
The market leans toward Inter Miami. Inter Miami is priced at 1.83. The draw is priced at 3.9. Columbus Crew is priced at 3.96.
Inter Miami have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Columbus Crew have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Inter Miami have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Inter Miami are on 5 wins in a row. Columbus Crew have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Inter Miami average 3 goals per game this season. Inter Miami average 60% possession. Columbus Crew average 2 goals per game this season. Columbus Crew average 56% possession.
The model gives 70% for both teams to score. The model gives 82% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Inter Miami or Columbus Crew?
Our model rates Inter Miami as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew?
A scoreline around 3-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Inter Miami wins, 1 draws, 1 Columbus Crew wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 37:16 | 32 |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30:18 | 30 |
| 4 |  Real Salt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 5 |  Dallas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 32:24 | 26 |
| 6 |  Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 7 |  Houston Dynamo | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:24 | 23 |
| 8 |  St. Louis City | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:23 | 22 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 22 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23:28 | 20 |
| 11 |  Colorado Rapids | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26:24 | 19 |
| 12 |  Portland Timbers | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 29:31 | 18 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 30:28 | 17 |
| 14 |  Austin | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:32 | 17 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 18:40 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.