Basel vs Lausanne-Sport: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Baselvs
Lausanne-SportThe model puts Basel at 46%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Lausanne-Sport.
- −The head-to-head record favours Lausanne-Sport (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Basel have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lausanne-Sport have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Basel have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Basel is priced at 1.94.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Basel at 46%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Lausanne-Sport at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Basel. Basel is priced at 1.94. The draw is priced at 3.86. Lausanne-Sport is priced at 3.41.
Basel have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Lausanne-Sport have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Basel have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Lausanne-Sport have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Basel or Lausanne-Sport?
Our model rates Basel as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Basel vs Lausanne-Sport?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Basel wins, 2 draws, 3 Lausanne-Sport wins.
League table
Switzerland. SuperLeague| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Young Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Thun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  St. Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Basel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Lausanne-Sport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 |  Grasshopper Club Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Zurich | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 9 |  Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Servette | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 12 |  Luzern | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.