Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo de Almagro: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Central Cordoba de Santiagovs
San Lorenzo de AlmagroThe model puts San Lorenzo de Almagro at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Central Cordoba de Santiago.
- −The head-to-head record favours Central Cordoba de Santiago (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Central Cordoba de Santiago have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- San Lorenzo de Almagro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- San Lorenzo de Almagro is priced at 2.454.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Central Cordoba de Santiago at 31%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts San Lorenzo de Almagro at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Central Cordoba de Santiago is priced at 3.155. The draw is priced at 3.045. San Lorenzo de Almagro is priced at 2.454.
Central Cordoba de Santiago have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. San Lorenzo de Almagro have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Central Cordoba de Santiago have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. San Lorenzo de Almagro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Central Cordoba de Santiago or San Lorenzo de Almagro?
Our model rates San Lorenzo de Almagro as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo de Almagro?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Central Cordoba de Santiago wins, 2 draws, 1 San Lorenzo de Almagro wins.
Odds movement
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Newell's Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 6 |  Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Riestra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo de Almagro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 12 |  Union de Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 13 |  Boca Juniors | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 14 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.