Anzhi Makhachkala vs Neftyanik Izberbash: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Anzhi Makhachkalavs
Neftyanik IzberbashThe model puts Neftyanik Izberbash at 73%. The model leans toward Neftyanik Izberbash. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Neftyanik Izberbash have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Neftyanik Izberbash is priced at 1.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Anzhi Makhachkala at 13%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Neftyanik Izberbash at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Neftyanik Izberbash. Anzhi Makhachkala is priced at 7.65. The draw is priced at 6.15. Neftyanik Izberbash is priced at 1.24.
Neftyanik Izberbash have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Anzhi Makhachkala or Neftyanik Izberbash?
Our model rates Neftyanik Izberbash as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Anzhi Makhachkala vs Neftyanik Izberbash?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.