Brommapojkarna vs Malmo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Brommapojkarnavs
MalmoThe model puts Malmo at 45%. The model leans toward Malmo. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Malmo (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Brommapojkarna have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Malmo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brommapojkarna have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Malmo is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Brommapojkarna at 29%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Malmo at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Malmo. Brommapojkarna is priced at 3.165. The draw is priced at 3.54. Malmo is priced at 2.13.
Brommapojkarna have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Malmo have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Brommapojkarna have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Malmo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Brommapojkarna or Malmo?
Our model rates Malmo as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Brommapojkarna vs Malmo?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Brommapojkarna wins, 1 draws, 4 Malmo wins.
League table
Sweden. Allsvenskan| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 40:17 | 38 |
| 2 |  Hammarby | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 33:15 | 27 |
| 3 |  Hacken | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 |  Djurgardens | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 27:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Vasteras SK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24:23 | 22 |
| 6 |  AIK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 22 |
| 7 |  Elfsborg | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Malmo | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 9 |  GAIS | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 10 |  Kalmar | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:21 | 18 |
| 11 |  Mjallby | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 12 | Brommapojkarna | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 13 |  Goteborg | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17:33 | 13 |
| 14 |  Degerfors | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Orgryte | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 14:33 | 10 |
| 16 |  Halmstads | 14 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11:29 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.