Vaasan Palloseura vs Inter Turku: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vaasan Palloseuravs
Inter TurkuThe model puts Inter Turku at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Inter Turku.
- +The head-to-head record favours Inter Turku (0-1-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Vaasan Palloseura have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inter Turku is priced at 2.53.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vaasan Palloseura at 33%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Inter Turku at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Vaasan Palloseura is priced at 2.68. The draw is priced at 3.3. Inter Turku is priced at 2.53.
Inter Turku have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Vaasan Palloseura have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vaasan Palloseura or Inter Turku?
Our model rates Inter Turku as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vaasan Palloseura vs Inter Turku?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Vaasan Palloseura wins, 1 draws, 5 Inter Turku wins.
Odds movement
League table
Finland. Veikkausliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kuopion Palloseura | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33:16 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 24:14 | 31 |
| 3 |  HJK | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 28:20 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27:22 | 28 |
| 5 | Vaasan Palloseura | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:16 | 27 |
| 6 |  AC Oulu | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:16 | 25 |
| 8 |  Turun Palloseura | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 29:30 | 22 |
| 10 |  FF Jaro | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17:35 | 15 |
| 11 |  Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 18 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 9:39 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.