Goteborg vs Degerfors: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Goteborgvs
DegerforsThe model puts Goteborg at 57%. The model leans toward Goteborg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Goteborg.
- +The head-to-head record favours Goteborg (6-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Goteborg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Degerfors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Goteborg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Goteborg is priced at 1.74.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Goteborg at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Degerfors at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Goteborg. Goteborg is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.74. Degerfors is priced at 4.46.
Goteborg have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Goteborg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Degerfors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Goteborg or Degerfors?
Our model rates Goteborg as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Goteborg vs Degerfors?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 6 Goteborg wins, 0 draws, 0 Degerfors wins.
League table
Sweden. Allsvenskan| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 40:17 | 38 |
| 2 |  Hammarby | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 33:15 | 27 |
| 3 |  Hacken | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 |  Djurgardens | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 27:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Vasteras SK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24:23 | 22 |
| 6 |  AIK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 22 |
| 7 |  Elfsborg | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 8 |  Malmo | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 9 |  GAIS | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 10 |  Kalmar | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:21 | 18 |
| 11 |  Mjallby | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 12 |  Brommapojkarna | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 13 | Goteborg | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17:33 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12:24 | 10 |
| 15 |  Orgryte | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 14:33 | 10 |
| 16 |  Halmstads | 14 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11:29 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.