SKA Rostov-on-Don vs Zenit Penza: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
SKA Rostov-on-Donvs
Zenit PenzaThe model puts SKA Rostov-on-Don at 75%. The model leans toward SKA Rostov-on-Don. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Zenit Penza have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- SKA Rostov-on-Don is priced at 1.21.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 19 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 19 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts SKA Rostov-on-Don at 75%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Zenit Penza at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward SKA Rostov-on-Don. SKA Rostov-on-Don is priced at 1.21. The draw is priced at 5.5. Zenit Penza is priced at 10.9.
Zenit Penza have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 26% for both teams to score. The model gives 43% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, SKA Rostov-on-Don or Zenit Penza?
Our model rates SKA Rostov-on-Don as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for SKA Rostov-on-Don vs Zenit Penza?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.