Banik Ostrava vs Slavia Prague: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Banik Ostravavs
Slavia PragueThe model puts Slavia Prague at 59%. The model leans toward Slavia Prague. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Slavia Prague.
- +The head-to-head record favours Slavia Prague (0-0-6).
- +Banik Ostrava are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Slavia Prague are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Banik Ostrava have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slavia Prague have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Banik Ostrava will be without Boula J., Dyachuk S., Latal, Planka, Grygar, Kohut.
- Slavia Prague will be without Halinsky, Kubiak, Mbodji, Moses, Ogbu I., Doudera, Konecny M., Chory T., Jurasek D..
- Slavia Prague is priced at 1.64.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Banik Ostrava at 20%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Slavia Prague at 59%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Slavia Prague. Banik Ostrava is priced at 4.755. The draw is priced at 3.95. Slavia Prague is priced at 1.64.
Slavia Prague have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Banik Ostrava have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Slavia Prague have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Slavia Prague are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Banik Ostrava or Slavia Prague?
Our model rates Slavia Prague as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Banik Ostrava vs Slavia Prague?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Banik Ostrava wins, 0 draws, 6 Slavia Prague wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Zbrojovka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Teplice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hradec Kralove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Jablonec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Banik Ostrava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Zlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Artis Brno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Viktoria Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  AC Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 16 |  1. Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.