Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk vs Salyut Belgorod: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebskvs
Salyut BelgorodThe model puts Salyut Belgorod at 58%. The model leans toward Salyut Belgorod. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Salyut Belgorod have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Salyut Belgorod is priced at 1.56.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk at 21%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Salyut Belgorod at 58%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Salyut Belgorod. Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk is priced at 4.445. The draw is priced at 4.3. Salyut Belgorod is priced at 1.56.
Salyut Belgorod have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Salyut Belgorod are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk or Salyut Belgorod?
Our model rates Salyut Belgorod as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk vs Salyut Belgorod?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.