Zurich vs Servette: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zurichvs
ServetteThe model puts Servette at 51%. The model leans toward Servette. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Servette.
- +The head-to-head record favours Servette (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zurich have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Servette have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zurich have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Servette is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zurich at 26%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Servette at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Servette. Zurich is priced at 3.47. The draw is priced at 3.9. Servette is priced at 1.91.
Zurich have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Servette have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Zurich have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Servette have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zurich or Servette?
Our model rates Servette as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zurich vs Servette?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Zurich wins, 2 draws, 3 Servette wins.
League table
Switzerland. SuperLeague| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Young Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Thun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  St. Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Basel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Lausanne-Sport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 |  Grasshopper Club Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Zurich | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 9 |  Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Servette | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 12 |  Luzern | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.