Deportes Limache vs Nublense: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Deportes Limachevs
NublenseThe model puts Deportes Limache at 45%. The model leans toward Deportes Limache. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Deportes Limache (1-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Deportes Limache have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nublense have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Deportes Limache have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Deportes Limache is priced at 2.05.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Deportes Limache at 45%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Nublense at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Deportes Limache. Deportes Limache is priced at 2.05. The draw is priced at 3.3. Nublense is priced at 3.215.
Deportes Limache have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Deportes Limache have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Nublense have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Deportes Limache or Nublense?
Our model rates Deportes Limache as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Deportes Limache vs Nublense?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Deportes Limache wins, 2 draws, 0 Nublense wins.
League table
Chile. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo-Colo | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 32:13 | 39 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica Santiago | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:23 | 27 |
| 3 |  Universidad de Chile | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:19 | 25 |
| 5 |  Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22:18 | 24 |
| 6 |  Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 7 |  Palestino | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:23 | 24 |
| 8 |  Everton de Vina del Mar | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 31:26 | 21 |
| 10 |  O'Higgins | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 19:24 | 20 |
| 11 |  Deportes La Serena | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 24:28 | 19 |
| 12 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:26 | 19 |
| 13 |  Club Deportes Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 16:23 | 17 |
| 14 |  Audax Italiano | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 15 |  Cobresal | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 22:32 | 14 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 15:29 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.