Everton de Vina del Mar vs Colo-Colo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Everton de Vina del Marvs
Colo-ColoThe model puts Colo-Colo at 46%. The model leans toward Colo-Colo. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Everton de Vina del Mar (5-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Everton de Vina del Mar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colo-Colo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Everton de Vina del Mar have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Colo-Colo is priced at 1.92.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Everton de Vina del Mar at 29%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Colo-Colo at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Colo-Colo. Everton de Vina del Mar is priced at 3.515. The draw is priced at 3.4. Colo-Colo is priced at 1.92.
Everton de Vina del Mar have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Everton de Vina del Mar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Colo-Colo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Everton de Vina del Mar or Colo-Colo?
Our model rates Colo-Colo as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Everton de Vina del Mar vs Colo-Colo?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Everton de Vina del Mar wins, 1 draws, 0 Colo-Colo wins.
League table
Chile. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo-Colo | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 32:13 | 39 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica Santiago | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:23 | 27 |
| 3 |  Universidad de Chile | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:11 | 27 |
| 4 |  Nublense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:19 | 25 |
| 5 |  Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22:18 | 24 |
| 6 |  Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 7 |  Palestino | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:23 | 24 |
| 8 | Everton de Vina del Mar | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 9 |  Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 31:26 | 21 |
| 10 |  O'Higgins | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 19:24 | 20 |
| 11 |  Deportes La Serena | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 24:28 | 19 |
| 12 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:26 | 19 |
| 13 |  Club Deportes Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 16:23 | 17 |
| 14 |  Audax Italiano | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 15 |  Cobresal | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 22:32 | 14 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 15:29 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.