Pardubice vs Jablonec: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pardubicevs
JablonecThe model puts Pardubice at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Jablonec.
- −The head-to-head record favours Jablonec (1-0-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pardubice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jablonec have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pardubice have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pardubice is priced at 2.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pardubice at 39%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Jablonec at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Pardubice is priced at 2.29. The draw is priced at 3.34. Jablonec is priced at 2.967.
Pardubice have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Jablonec have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
Pardubice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Jablonec have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Jablonec are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pardubice or Jablonec?
Our model rates Pardubice as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pardubice vs Jablonec?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Pardubice wins, 0 draws, 5 Jablonec wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Zbrojovka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Teplice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hradec Kralove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Jablonec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Banik Ostrava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  AC Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 |  Artis Brno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Viktoria Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Zlin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  1. Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.