Atletico Bucaramanga vs Club Llaneros: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atletico Bucaramangavs
Club LlanerosThe model puts Atletico Bucaramanga at 55%. The model leans toward Atletico Bucaramanga. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Club Llaneros.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atletico Bucaramanga have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Llaneros have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico Bucaramanga have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Atletico Bucaramanga is priced at 1.63.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Atletico Bucaramanga at 55%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Club Llaneros at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Atletico Bucaramanga. Atletico Bucaramanga is priced at 1.63. The draw is priced at 3.56. Club Llaneros is priced at 5.59.
Atletico Bucaramanga have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Club Llaneros have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Atletico Bucaramanga have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Llaneros have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atletico Bucaramanga or Club Llaneros?
Our model rates Atletico Bucaramanga as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Club Llaneros?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Bucaramanga wins, 2 draws, 2 Club Llaneros wins.
Odds movement
League table
Colombia. Categoria Primera A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Once Caldas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Independiente Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Deportes Tolima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Aguilas Doradas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Club Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Alianza Valledupar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Fortaleza Zipaquira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Boyaca Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Club Atletico Nacional SA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Pasto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Club Independiente Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Junior de Barranquilla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Deportivo Pereira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Internacional de Bogota | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 19 |  Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 |  Cucuta Deportivo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.