Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lokomotiv Moscowvs
Akron TolyattiThe model puts Lokomotiv Moscow at 67%. The model leans toward Lokomotiv Moscow. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Lokomotiv Moscow (5-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lokomotiv Moscow have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Akron Tolyatti have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv Moscow have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lokomotiv Moscow is priced at 1.445.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lokomotiv Moscow at 67%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Akron Tolyatti at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Lokomotiv Moscow. Lokomotiv Moscow is priced at 1.445. The draw is priced at 4.78. Akron Tolyatti is priced at 6.55.
Lokomotiv Moscow have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Lokomotiv Moscow have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Akron Tolyatti have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lokomotiv Moscow or Akron Tolyatti?
Our model rates Lokomotiv Moscow as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Lokomotiv Moscow wins, 1 draws, 0 Akron Tolyatti wins.
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit Saint Petersburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Spartak Moscow | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Krasnodar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Orenburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 7 |  Baltika Kaliningrad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  Rostov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 12 |  Akhmat | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 13 |  Dynamo Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 |  Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.