Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sigma Olomoucvs
Mlada BoleslavThe model puts Sigma Olomouc at 53%. The model leans toward Sigma Olomouc. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Mlada Boleslav.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sigma Olomouc (4-0-2).
- −Sigma Olomouc are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Mlada Boleslav are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sigma Olomouc have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mlada Boleslav have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sigma Olomouc have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sigma Olomouc will be without Dembe, Elbel, Hadas, Slavicek Z., Yasser, Kliment J., Урича, Huk.
- Mlada Boleslav will be without Gora, Mares, Ogungbayi, Pech D., Лехки.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sigma Olomouc at 53%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Mlada Boleslav at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sigma Olomouc. Sigma Olomouc is priced at 1.75. The draw is priced at 3.9. Mlada Boleslav is priced at 4.085.
Sigma Olomouc have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Mlada Boleslav have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sigma Olomouc have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Mlada Boleslav have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Mlada Boleslav are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sigma Olomouc or Mlada Boleslav?
Our model rates Sigma Olomouc as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Sigma Olomouc wins, 0 draws, 2 Mlada Boleslav wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Zbrojovka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Teplice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hradec Kralove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Jablonec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Banik Ostrava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Zlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Artis Brno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Viktoria Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  AC Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 16 |  1. Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.