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Portugal Super Cup

Porto vs S.C.U. Torreense: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Porto PortovsS.C.U. Torreense S.C.U. Torreense
Our predictionPorto to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Porto at 88%. The model leans toward Porto. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · PortoDraw2 · S.C.U. Torreense
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.62+26.0%
1X2Porto1.07+0.1%
1X2S.C.U. Torreense24.00-0.0%
1X2Draw10.70-0.1%
BTTSYes2.16-26.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Porto
88
S.C.U. Torreense
34

Recent form

PortoWLWLW
S.C.U. TorreenseDDWLW

Most likely scorelines

2-020.9%
3-017.5%
1-016.7%
4-011.0%
0-06.7%
5-05.5%

Expected goals

2.51Porto
xG
0.20S.C.U. Torreense
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score17%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Porto S.C.U. Torreense

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Porto win1.07Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071
1173
2214
3174
4112
551

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Porto at 88%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts S.C.U. Torreense at 4%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Porto. Porto is priced at 1.067. The draw is priced at 10.7. S.C.U. Torreense is priced at 24.

S.C.U. Torreense have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Porto have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. S.C.U. Torreense have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Porto or S.C.U. Torreense?

Our model rates Porto as the most likely outcome at 88% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Porto vs S.C.U. Torreense?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Porto wins, 0 draws, 1 S.C.U. Torreense wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.