Okzhetpes vs Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Okzhetpesvs
Altay Ust-KamenogorskThe model puts Okzhetpes at 61%. The model leans toward Okzhetpes. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Okzhetpes.
- −The head-to-head record favours Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk (0-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Okzhetpes have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Okzhetpes is priced at 1.559.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Okzhetpes at 61%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Okzhetpes. Okzhetpes is priced at 1.559. The draw is priced at 3.52. Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk is priced at 7.24.
Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Okzhetpes have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Okzhetpes or Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk?
Our model rates Okzhetpes as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Okzhetpes vs Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Okzhetpes wins, 1 draws, 4 Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk wins.
League table
Kazakhstan. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kairat | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 39:14 | 45 |
| 2 |  Ordabasy | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 34:15 | 43 |
| 3 |  Astana | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 32 |
| 4 |  Aktobe | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28:21 | 31 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | 30 |
| 6 |  Elimai | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 26:23 | 27 |
| 7 |  Ulytau | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16:18 | 27 |
| 8 |  Tobol Kostanay | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:26 | 22 |
| 9 |  Jenis | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:23 | 22 |
| 10 |  Caspiy Aktau | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19:25 | 21 |
| 11 |  Kaysar | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15:22 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kyzylzhar | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:27 | 19 |
| 13 |  Atyrau | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 14 |  Zhetysu | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 22:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15:26 | 16 |
| 16 |  Irtysh Pavlodar | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 16:23 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.