Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bentleigh Greensvs
Oakleigh CannonsThe model puts Oakleigh Cannons at 65%. The model leans toward Oakleigh Cannons. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Bentleigh Greens.
- −The head-to-head record favours Bentleigh Greens (4-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bentleigh Greens have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Oakleigh Cannons have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bentleigh Greens have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Oakleigh Cannons is priced at 1.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bentleigh Greens at 18%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Oakleigh Cannons at 65%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Oakleigh Cannons. Bentleigh Greens is priced at 7.9. The draw is priced at 5. Oakleigh Cannons is priced at 1.29.
Bentleigh Greens have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Oakleigh Cannons have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Bentleigh Greens have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bentleigh Greens are on 2 wins in a row. Oakleigh Cannons have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bentleigh Greens or Oakleigh Cannons?
Our model rates Oakleigh Cannons as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Bentleigh Greens wins, 0 draws, 2 Oakleigh Cannons wins.
League table
Australia. NPL Victorian| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 45:20 | 47 |
| 2 |  Hume City | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 42:28 | 40 |
| 3 |  Avondale | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 57:30 | 38 |
| 4 |  Preston Lions | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 31:16 | 36 |
| 5 |  South Melbourne | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 33:33 | 35 |
| 6 |  Heidelberg United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33:26 | 34 |
| 7 |  Caroline Springs George Cross | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28:28 | 31 |
| 8 |  Melbourne City II | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 39:26 | 30 |
| 9 |  St Albans Dinamo | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27:39 | 27 |
| 10 |  Altona Magic | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 11 |  Dandenong City | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27:29 | 23 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 22 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 20:46 | 19 |
| 13 |  Dandenong Thunder | 22 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 23:48 | 15 |
| 14 |  Green Gully | 22 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 17:43 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.