BSS vs Railway: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
BSSvs
RailwayThe model puts BSS at 45%. The model leans toward BSS. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours BSS.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- BSS have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Railway have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- BSS have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- BSS is priced at 2.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts BSS at 45%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Railway at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward BSS. BSS is priced at 2.12. The draw is priced at 3.16. Railway is priced at 3.19.
BSS have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Railway have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
BSS have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Railway have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, BSS or Railway?
Our model rates BSS as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for BSS vs Railway?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 BSS wins, 2 draws, 1 Railway wins.
League table
India. Calcutta Premier Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  East Bengal II | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 2 |  Mohun Bagan Super Giant II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Bhawanipore | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kidderpore SC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 5 |  United Kolkata | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 6 |  Patha Chakra | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:17 | 6 |
| 7 |  Calcutta Customs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 8 | BSS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 9 | Railway | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  George Telegraph | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 11 |  Bidhannagar MSA | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:11 | 1 |
| 12 |  Sreebhumi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Kalighat Milan Sangha | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.