Viktoria Plzen vs Zbrojovka: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Viktoria Plzenvs
ZbrojovkaThe model puts Viktoria Plzen at 62%. The model leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Zbrojovka.
- −The head-to-head record favours Zbrojovka (0-1-5).
- −Viktoria Plzen are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Zbrojovka are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Viktoria Plzen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zbrojovka have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viktoria Plzen will be without Paluska, Jemelka.
- Zbrojovka will be without Vecera, Texl, Juroska.
- Viktoria Plzen is priced at 1.4.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 62%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Zbrojovka at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Viktoria Plzen is priced at 1.4. The draw is priced at 4.7. Zbrojovka is priced at 6.83.
Zbrojovka have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Viktoria Plzen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Zbrojovka have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Viktoria Plzen or Zbrojovka?
Our model rates Viktoria Plzen as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Viktoria Plzen vs Zbrojovka?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Viktoria Plzen wins, 1 draws, 5 Zbrojovka wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Zbrojovka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Teplice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hradec Kralove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Jablonec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Banik Ostrava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Zlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Artis Brno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 14 | Viktoria Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  AC Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 16 |  1. Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.