Dundee United vs Celtic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Celtic at 62%. The model leans toward Celtic. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Celtic.
- +The head-to-head record favours Celtic (2-3-10).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dundee United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Celtic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dundee United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Celtic is priced at 1.57.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dundee United at 18%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Celtic at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Celtic. Dundee United is priced at 4.985. The draw is priced at 4.25. Celtic is priced at 1.57.
Dundee United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Celtic have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dundee United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Celtic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Celtic are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dundee United or Celtic?
Our model rates Celtic as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dundee United vs Celtic?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Dundee United wins, 3 draws, 10 Celtic wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.