Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wynnum Wolvesvs
Brisbane CityThe model puts Wynnum Wolves at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wynnum Wolves have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brisbane City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wynnum Wolves have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Wynnum Wolves is priced at 2.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Wynnum Wolves at 40%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Brisbane City at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Wynnum Wolves is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3.75. Brisbane City is priced at 2.5.
Wynnum Wolves have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Brisbane City have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Wynnum Wolves have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Brisbane City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wynnum Wolves or Brisbane City?
Our model rates Wynnum Wolves as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Wynnum Wolves wins, 1 draws, 3 Brisbane City wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. NPL Queensland| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queensland Lions | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50:20 | 44 |
| 2 |  Peninsula Power | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 45:22 | 43 |
| 3 |  Moreton City Excelsior | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 49:30 | 36 |
| 4 |  Gold Coast Knights | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 42:28 | 34 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41:41 | 30 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 31:35 | 29 |
| 7 |  Eastern Suburbs | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 33:31 | 28 |
| 8 |  Brisbane Olympic | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 34:39 | 23 |
| 9 |  Magic United TFA | 19 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 28:55 | 16 |
| 10 |  Rochedale Rovers | 19 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 29:48 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gold Coast United | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 12 |  Brisbane Roar II | 19 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 27:46 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.