Rochedale Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rochedale Roversvs
Eastern SuburbsThe model puts Eastern Suburbs at 46%. The model leans toward Eastern Suburbs. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rochedale Rovers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Eastern Suburbs have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rochedale Rovers have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Eastern Suburbs is priced at 1.929.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rochedale Rovers at 31%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Eastern Suburbs at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Eastern Suburbs. Rochedale Rovers is priced at 2.951. The draw is priced at 4.1. Eastern Suburbs is priced at 1.929.
Rochedale Rovers have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Eastern Suburbs have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rochedale Rovers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Eastern Suburbs have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Eastern Suburbs are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rochedale Rovers or Eastern Suburbs?
Our model rates Eastern Suburbs as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rochedale Rovers vs Eastern Suburbs?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Rochedale Rovers wins, 1 draws, 2 Eastern Suburbs wins.
League table
Australia. NPL Queensland| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queensland Lions | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50:20 | 44 |
| 2 |  Peninsula Power | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 45:22 | 43 |
| 3 |  Moreton City Excelsior | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 49:30 | 36 |
| 4 |  Gold Coast Knights | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 42:28 | 34 |
| 5 |  Brisbane City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41:41 | 30 |
| 6 |  Wynnum Wolves | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 31:35 | 29 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 33:31 | 28 |
| 8 |  Brisbane Olympic | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 34:39 | 23 |
| 9 |  Magic United TFA | 19 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 28:55 | 16 |
| 10 | Rochedale Rovers | 19 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 29:48 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gold Coast United | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 12 |  Brisbane Roar II | 19 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 27:46 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.