Isidro Metapan vs FAS: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Isidro Metapanvs
FASThe model puts FAS at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours FAS.
- +The head-to-head record favours FAS (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Isidro Metapan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- FAS have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Isidro Metapan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- FAS is priced at 2.66.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Isidro Metapan at 35%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts FAS at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Isidro Metapan is priced at 2.48. The draw is priced at 3. FAS is priced at 2.66.
Isidro Metapan have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. FAS have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Isidro Metapan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. FAS have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. FAS are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Isidro Metapan or FAS?
Our model rates FAS as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Isidro Metapan vs FAS?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Isidro Metapan wins, 2 draws, 3 FAS wins.
Odds movement
League table
El Salvador. Primera Division - Apertura| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  C.D. Luis Angel Firpo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Isidro Metapan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Alianza San Salvador | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | FAS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  CD Cacahuatique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 6 |  C.D. Municipal Limeno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 7 |  Aguila | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Inter Santa Tecla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Atletico Balboa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 11 |  Fuerte San Francisco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 12 |  INCA Aruba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.