C.S.D. Municipal vs Cartagines: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
C.S.D. Municipalvs
CartaginesThe model puts C.S.D. Municipal at 48%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- C.S.D. Municipal is priced at 1.89.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts C.S.D. Municipal at 48%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Cartagines at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward C.S.D. Municipal. C.S.D. Municipal is priced at 1.89. The draw is priced at 3.08. Cartagines is priced at 4.03.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, C.S.D. Municipal or Cartagines?
Our model rates C.S.D. Municipal as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for C.S.D. Municipal vs Cartagines?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
CONCACAF Central American Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diriangen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Alajuelense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  C.D. Luis Angel Firpo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Xelaju | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 5 |  Club Deportivo Plaza Amador | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.