Central American and Caribbean Games

Cuba U21 vs Costa Rica U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Cuba U21vs

Costa Rica U21

Our predictionCosta Rica U21 to win

Model score: Medium · 39/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Costa Rica U21 at 53%. The model leans toward Costa Rica U21. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Cuba U21.

Win probabilities

1 · Cuba U2125%Draw22%2 · Costa Rica U2153%

1 · Cuba U21Draw2 · Costa Rica U21

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.06+5.5%

1X2Cuba U214.52+4.0%

1X2Draw3.94-1.2%

1X2Costa Rica U211.67-2.8%

BTTSYes1.68-5.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Cuba U21

Costa Rica U21

Most likely scorelines

0-112.2%

1-111.9%

0-29.7%

1-29.5%

0-07.7%

1-07.5%

Recent form

Cuba U21WD

Costa Rica U21LDLDW

Expected goals

0.98Cuba U21

1.58Costa Rica U21

Over 2.5 goals47%

Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

Cuba U21 Costa Rica U21

Key points

Cuba U21 have 1 wins in their last 2 matches.
Costa Rica U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Costa Rica U21 is priced at 1.67.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Costa Rica U21 win1.67Fair (-2.8%)

Double chanceCosta Rica U21 or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	12	10	5	2
1	8	12	9	5	2
2	4	6	5	2
3	1	2	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Cuba U21 at 25%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Costa Rica U21 at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Costa Rica U21. Cuba U21 is priced at 4.52. The draw is priced at 3.94. Costa Rica U21 is priced at 1.67.

Costa Rica U21 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Cuba U21 have 1 wins in their last 2 matches. Costa Rica U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →