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UEFA Champions League

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bodo-Glimt: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Royale Union Saint-GilloisevsBodo-Glimt Bodo-Glimt
Our predictionRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise to win
Model score: Medium · 48/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Royale Union Saint-GilloiseDraw2 · Bodo-Glimt
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.42+9.8%
1X2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise2.27+0.5%
1X2Draw3.46-0.2%
1X2Bodo-Glimt3.10-0.3%
BTTSYes1.50-9.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
66
Bodo-Glimt
62

Most likely scorelines

1-112.2%
1-011.2%
2-19.3%
2-08.5%
0-18.0%
0-07.3%

Recent form

Royale Union Saint-GilloiseWWLWW
Bodo-GlimtWWWWW

Expected goals

1.53Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
xG
1.09Bodo-Glimt
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Bodo-Glimt

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise win2.27Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111272
29952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 42%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 2.27. The draw is priced at 3.46. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 3.096.

The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise are on 2 wins in a row. Bodo-Glimt have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Bodo-Glimt are on 5 wins in a row.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise or Bodo-Glimt?

Our model rates Royale Union Saint-Gilloise as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bodo-Glimt?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise wins, 1 draws, 0 Bodo-Glimt wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.