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UEFA Champions League

Mjallby vs Slovan Bratislava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Mjallby MjallbyvsSlovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
Our predictionMjallby to win
Model score: Low · 34/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Mjallby at 49%. The model leans toward Mjallby. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · MjallbyDraw2 · Slovan Bratislava
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.68+5.1%
1X2Slovan Bratislava3.90+2.4%
1X2Draw3.74-1.1%
1X2Mjallby1.89-1.3%
BTTSNo2.06-5.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.04Mjallby
xG
1.17Slovan Bratislava
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score60%
Team strength rating
Mjallby
57
Slovan Bratislava
53

Most likely scorelines

2-19.8%
1-19.6%
2-08.4%
1-08.2%
3-16.7%
2-25.8%

Recent form

MjallbyDLWDL
Slovan BratislavaDWW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Mjallby Slovan Bratislava

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Mjallby win1.89Fair (-1.3%)
Double chanceMjallby or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04531
181062
281062
36742
4332
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Mjallby at 49%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Slovan Bratislava at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Mjallby. Mjallby is priced at 1.888. The draw is priced at 3.74. Slovan Bratislava is priced at 3.9.

Mjallby have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Mjallby or Slovan Bratislava?

Our model rates Mjallby as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Mjallby vs Slovan Bratislava?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.