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Scotland. Championship

Livingston vs Queen's Park: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Livingston LivingstonvsQueen's Park Queen's Park
Our predictionLivingston to win
Model score: High · 74/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Livingston at 64%. The model leans toward Livingston. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · LivingstonDraw2 · Queen's Park
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.68+4.2%
1X2Queen's Park7.08+2.7%
1X2Livingston1.40-1.3%
1X2Draw4.10-1.4%
BTTSYes2.04-4.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

LivingstonLWLWW
Queen's ParkWLWWW
Team strength rating
Livingston
68
Queen's Park
44

Most likely scorelines

2-014.3%
1-014.1%
3-09.6%
2-19.1%
1-19.0%
0-07.0%

Expected goals

2.02Livingston
xG
0.64Queen's Park
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score41%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Livingston Queen's Park

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Livingston win1.40Fair (-1.3%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0741
11493
21493
31062
453
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Livingston at 64%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Queen's Park at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Livingston. Livingston is priced at 1.4. The draw is priced at 4.1. Queen's Park is priced at 7.08.

Livingston have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Queen's Park have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

Livingston have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Queen's Park have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Livingston or Queen's Park?

Our model rates Livingston as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Livingston vs Queen's Park?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 Livingston wins, 2 draws, 1 Queen's Park wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Scotland. Championship
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Inverness00000:00
2Livingston00000:00
3Greenock Morton00000:00
4Partick Thistle00000:00
5Ayr United00000:00
6Queen's Park00000:00
7Raith Rovers00000:00
8Arbroath00000:00
9Stenhousemuir00000:00
10Dunfermline Athletic00000:00
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.