Dinamo Zagreb vs Zalgiris Kaunas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dinamo Zagrebvs
Zalgiris KaunasThe model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 80%. The model leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Zalgiris Kaunas have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.19.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 21 | 6 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 14 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dinamo Zagreb at 80%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Zalgiris Kaunas at 5%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dinamo Zagreb. Dinamo Zagreb is priced at 1.19. The draw is priced at 6.25. Zalgiris Kaunas is priced at 18.
Zalgiris Kaunas have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dinamo Zagreb or Zalgiris Kaunas?
Our model rates Dinamo Zagreb as the most likely outcome at 80% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dinamo Zagreb vs Zalgiris Kaunas?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.