Feyenoord vs Atalanta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Feyenoordvs
AtalantaThe model puts Atalanta at 41%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atalanta is priced at 2.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Feyenoord at 36%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Atalanta at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Feyenoord is priced at 2.63. The draw is priced at 4.05. Atalanta is priced at 2.25.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Feyenoord or Atalanta?
Our model rates Atalanta as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Feyenoord vs Atalanta?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
Club Friendlies| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Wrexham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Leeds United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sunderland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.