Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Thunvs
Vikingur ReykjavikThe model puts Thun at 69%. The model leans toward Thun. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Thun have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Thun is priced at 1.384.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Thun at 69%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Vikingur Reykjavik at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Thun. Thun is priced at 1.384. The draw is priced at 4.9. Vikingur Reykjavik is priced at 7.8.
Thun have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Vikingur Reykjavik have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 69% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Thun or Vikingur Reykjavik?
Our model rates Thun as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.