Ferencvarosi vs Gornik Zabrze: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Ferencvarosi at 51%. The model leans toward Ferencvarosi. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ferencvarosi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gornik Zabrze have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Ferencvarosi is priced at 1.86.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Ferencvarosi at 51%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ferencvarosi. Ferencvarosi is priced at 1.86. The draw is priced at 3.72. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 4.02.
Ferencvarosi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Gornik Zabrze have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ferencvarosi or Gornik Zabrze?
Our model rates Ferencvarosi as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ferencvarosi vs Gornik Zabrze?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.