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UEFA Europa League

Ferencvarosi vs Gornik Zabrze: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ferencvarosi FerencvarosivsGornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
Our predictionFerencvarosi to win
Model score: High · 66/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Ferencvarosi at 57%. The model leans toward Ferencvarosi. Confidence: high.

Our prediction was correct (predicted: Ferencvarosi · actual: Ferencvarosi)

Win probabilities

1 · FerencvarosiDraw2 · Gornik Zabrze
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Ferencvarosi
65
Gornik Zabrze
39

Most likely scorelines

1-013.9%
2-013.1%
1-110.0%
2-19.5%
3-08.2%
0-07.4%

Recent form

FerencvarosiDDLWW
Gornik ZabrzeDDWLL

Expected goals

1.89Ferencvarosi
xG
0.72Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score44%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ferencvarosi Gornik Zabrze

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Ferencvarosi win1.68Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
114104
21393
3862
4431
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Ferencvarosi1.68+0.4%
1X2Gornik Zabrze5.75-0.1%
1X2Draw3.52-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Ferencvarosi at 57%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Ferencvarosi. Ferencvarosi is priced at 1.68. The draw is priced at 3.52. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 5.75.

Ferencvarosi have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Gornik Zabrze have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ferencvarosi or Gornik Zabrze?

Our model rates Ferencvarosi as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ferencvarosi vs Gornik Zabrze?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward a balanced game.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.