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UEFA Europa League

Ferencvarosi vs Gornik Zabrze: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ferencvarosi FerencvarosivsGornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
Our predictionFerencvarosi to win
Model score: High · 61/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Ferencvarosi at 51%. The model leans toward Ferencvarosi. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · FerencvarosiDraw2 · Gornik Zabrze
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Ferencvarosi
63
Gornik Zabrze
44

Most likely scorelines

1-011.0%
1-110.5%
2-010.4%
2-19.9%
3-06.5%
3-16.2%

Recent form

FerencvarosiDLWWW
Gornik ZabrzeDWLL

Expected goals

1.88Ferencvarosi
xG
0.96Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ferencvarosi Gornik Zabrze

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Ferencvarosi win1.86Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0663
1111152
2101052
3663
4331
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Ferencvarosi1.86+0.4%
1X2Gornik Zabrze4.02-0.2%
1X2Draw3.72-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Ferencvarosi at 51%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Ferencvarosi. Ferencvarosi is priced at 1.86. The draw is priced at 3.72. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 4.02.

Ferencvarosi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Gornik Zabrze have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ferencvarosi or Gornik Zabrze?

Our model rates Ferencvarosi as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ferencvarosi vs Gornik Zabrze?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.