Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shamrock Roversvs
EgnatiaThe model puts Shamrock Rovers at 56%. The model leans toward Shamrock Rovers. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Shamrock Rovers.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Shamrock Rovers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Egnatia have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers is priced at 1.755.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Shamrock Rovers at 56%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Egnatia at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Shamrock Rovers. Shamrock Rovers is priced at 1.755. The draw is priced at 3.74. Egnatia is priced at 4.62.
Shamrock Rovers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Egnatia have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 74% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shamrock Rovers or Egnatia?
Our model rates Shamrock Rovers as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.