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UEFA Europa League

Hradec Kralove vs Besiktas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Hradec Kralove Hradec KralovevsBesiktas Besiktas
Our predictionBesiktas to win
Model score: Low · 8/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Besiktas at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Hradec KraloveDraw2 · Besiktas
Full team comparison

Expected goals

1.11Hradec Kralove
xG
1.18Besiktas
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score46%

Most likely scorelines

1-113.3%
0-112.0%
1-011.2%
0-010.1%
1-27.8%
2-17.4%
Team strength rating
Hradec Kralove
62
Besiktas
53

Recent form

Hradec KraloveWWW
Besiktas

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Hradec Kralove Besiktas

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Besiktas win2.46Fair
Double chanceBesiktas or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0101273
1111383
26742
3232
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Hradec Kralove3.22+0.6%
1X2Draw2.98-0.3%
1X2Besiktas2.46-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Hradec Kralove at 30%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Besiktas at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Hradec Kralove is priced at 3.22. The draw is priced at 2.975. Besiktas is priced at 2.456.

Hradec Kralove have 3 wins in their last 3 matches. Hradec Kralove are on 3 wins in a row.

The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Hradec Kralove or Besiktas?

Our model rates Besiktas as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Hradec Kralove vs Besiktas?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.