Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho vs Gnistan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Seinajoen Jalkapallokerhovs
GnistanThe model puts Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho.
- −The head-to-head record favours Gnistan (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gnistan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho is priced at 2.22.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho at 44%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Gnistan at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho is priced at 2.22. The draw is priced at 3.64. Gnistan is priced at 2.926.
Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Gnistan have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho are on 3 wins in a row. Gnistan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho or Gnistan?
Our model rates Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho vs Gnistan?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho wins, 1 draws, 4 Gnistan wins.
League table
Finland. Veikkausliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kuopion Palloseura | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33:16 | 39 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:14 | 34 |
| 3 |  AC Oulu | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 22:21 | 30 |
| 4 |  HJK | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28:23 | 28 |
| 5 | Gnistan | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27:22 | 28 |
| 6 |  Vaasan Palloseura | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:17 | 27 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:16 | 25 |
| 8 |  Turun Palloseura | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 29:31 | 22 |
| 10 | Seinajoen Jalkapallokerho | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 22:27 | 17 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17:35 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 18 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 9:39 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.