Larne vs Iberia 1999: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Larnevs
Iberia 1999The model puts Iberia 1999 at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Larne.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Larne have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Iberia 1999 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Iberia 1999 is priced at 2.464.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Larne at 31%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Iberia 1999 at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Larne is priced at 3.01. The draw is priced at 3.18. Iberia 1999 is priced at 2.464.
Larne have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Iberia 1999 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Larne or Iberia 1999?
Our model rates Iberia 1999 as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Larne vs Iberia 1999?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.