Zbrojovka vs Slovan Liberec: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zbrojovkavs
Slovan LiberecThe model puts Zbrojovka at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Zbrojovka.
- +The head-to-head record favours Zbrojovka (4-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zbrojovka have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slovan Liberec have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zbrojovka have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Zbrojovka is priced at 2.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zbrojovka at 42%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Slovan Liberec at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Zbrojovka is priced at 2.47. The draw is priced at 3.36. Slovan Liberec is priced at 2.65.
Zbrojovka have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Slovan Liberec have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Zbrojovka have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Zbrojovka are on 4 wins in a row. Slovan Liberec have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zbrojovka or Slovan Liberec?
Our model rates Zbrojovka as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zbrojovka vs Slovan Liberec?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Zbrojovka wins, 1 draws, 1 Slovan Liberec wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Jablonec | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Teplice | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Mlada Boleslav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Zbrojovka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Hradec Kralove | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Slovan Liberec | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 |  AC Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  Banik Ostrava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 11 |  Artis Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 12 |  Viktoria Plzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 14 |  1. Slovacko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 15 |  Zlin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Pardubice | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.